What is Egypt's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Egypt's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
Fuel shares refer only to energy demand of the sector. Deployment of synthetic fuels is not represented in these pathways.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Oil currently dominates the transport energy mix, accounting for 97%.3 Most of the remaining transport energy needs are met with gas. Although pathways show slower electrification of the transport sector slower compared to other sectors, strong policy action now would allow a smooth decarbonisation process. The Minimal CDR Reliance pathway shows electrification reaching 4% of transport energy consumption by 2030, which can be achieved through support for EVs and a rollout of charging infrastructure. This share would increase sharply to 48% by 2050.
The Net Zero Commitments pathway sees a greater variety of fuels incorporated into the Egyptian transport sector. The rate of electrification is less than in the Minimal CDR Reliance pathway (4% in 2030 and 32% in 2050); however, biofuels are introduced so that by 2050 they represent 10% of the mix. Similarly, hydrogen is also introduced and makes up 4% of the mix in 2050.
Egypt's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (from energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Egypt
| Indicator |
2021
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
55
|
46 to
48
|
41 to
48
|
23 to
43
|
7 to
23
|
2059 to
2068
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-16 to
-13%
|
-25 to
-13%
|
-58 to
-22%
|
-87 to
-58%
|
| Indicator |
2021
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
0
|
4 to
6
|
7 to
21
|
12 to
49
|
32 to
77
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
0
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
2
|
0 to
10
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
1
|
1 to
4
|
All values are rounded. Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector analysis, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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