What is Egypt's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Power
Egypt's power mix
terawatt-hour per year
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Graph description
Power energy mix composition in generation (TWh) and capacities (GW) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways. Selected countries include the Stated Policies Scenario from the IEA's World Energy Outlook 2023.
Methodology
Data References
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Across all assessed 1.5°C pathways, fossil fuels are swapped out for renewables. Pathways with higher electrification of end-use sectors such as transport require a larger-scale rollout of renewables, while pathways with lower electricity demand can decarbonise the power sector with a more moderate buildout of renewables.
The Deep Electrification pathway best demonstrates this first option. Under this pathway, renewables would supply 94% of electricity by 2030. The greatest electricity generation would also be observed under this pathway, at 277 TWh/yr in 2030. That share rises to 851 TWh/yr by 2050, with this figure supplied almost entirely by renewables.
The Net Zero Commitments pathway takes a different approach, whereby final energy demand grows much slower. While the share of renewables would also be high (87% in 2030 and just under 100% in 2050), their rollout in absolute numbers would be significantly less than under the Deep Electrification pathway. In 2030 electricity generation would be 211 TWh/yr, while in 2050 it would be 349 TWh/yr, i.e. less than half the demand in the Deep Electrification pathway. In practice, strong energy efficiency measures would be key to achieving this pathway, thus reducing the need to scale up renewables as rapidly.
Across all pathways, gas would be phased out by 2035.
Egypt's power sector emissions and carbon intensity
MtCO₂/yr
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Graph description
Emissions and carbon intensity of the power sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible power sector benchmarks
Carbon intensity, renewable generation share, and fossil fuel generation share from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Egypt
| Indicator |
2021
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised power sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Carbon intensity of power
gCO₂/kWh
|
402
|
26 to
66
|
1 to
5
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
0
|
2035 to
2036
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-94 to
-84%
|
-100 to
-99%
|
-100 to
-100%
|
-100 to
-100%
|
| Indicator |
2021
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of unabated coal
per cent
|
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
|
Share of unabated gas
per cent
|
81
|
5 to
14
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
|
Share of renewable energy
per cent
|
12
|
85 to
94
|
98 to
100
|
99 to
100
|
99 to
100
|
BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks
All values are rounded
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Methodology
Data References
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