What is Egypt's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Buildings
Egypt's energy mix in the buildings sector
petajoule per year
Fuel shares refer only to energy demand of the sector. Deployment of synthetic fuels is not represented in these pathways.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the buildings sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible pathways for Egypt’s buildings sector place a greater emphasis on managing energy demand than rapidly changing the fuel mix. The Minimal CDR Reliance pathway sees a relatively small increase in energy demand – an 8% increase by 2030 and a 15% increase by 2040, compared to 2022 levels. Meanwhile, the share of electricity would grow to 64% by 2030, and 79% by 2040.
The emphasis on managing energy demand is particularly relevant given the growing need for air conditioning as a result of rising temperatures. During peak summer months air conditioning is already a major driver of energy demand, and that demand is only expected to increase as temperatures rise.3 Egypt’s National Smart Cities Strategy will likely improve energy demand from the buildings sector through smart grids and smart meters.4 Deepening the integration of energy demand measures into building codes can ensure that pressure is taken off Egypt’s grid in the face of rising temperatures while steps are taken towards decarbonisation.
Egypt's buildings sector direct CO₂ emissions (from energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the buildings sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible buildings sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, heat and biomass in the buildings final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Egypt
| Indicator |
2022
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
Buildings sector decarbonised by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
13
|
14 to
16
|
13 to
14
|
9 to
10
|
3 to
4
|
2047 to
2054
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
8 to
23%
|
0 to
8%
|
-31 to
-23%
|
-77 to
-69%
|
| Indicator |
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
%
|
59 to
64
|
63 to
72
|
79 to
84
|
89 to
95
|
|
Share of heat
%
|
0 to
1
|
1 to
1
|
1 to
2
|
1 to
3
|
|
Share of hydrogen
%
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
All values are rounded. Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector analysis, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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