What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Algeria
More ambition needed to align with 1.5°C while transitioning away from fossil fuels
A 1.5°C compatible Algeria would emit, at most, 173 MtCO2e/yr in 2030. However, Algeria’s conditional NDC target would lead to 2030 emissions of 244 MtCO2e/yr. Given that the energy sector accounts for 82% of economy-wide emissions, decarbonising energy will be pivotal to meeting Algeria’s Paris Agreement obligations.
Algeria's total GHG emissions excl. LULUCF MtCO₂e/yr
*Net zero emissions excl LULUCF is achieved through deployment of BECCS; other novel CDR is not included in these pathways
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Graph description
The figure shows national 1.5°C compatible emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total GHG emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC AR6, defined by the 5th-50th percentiles of the distributions of such pathways which achieve the LTTG of the Paris Agreement. We consider one primary net-negative emission technology in our analysis (BECCS) due to data availability. Net negative emissions from the land-sector (LULUCF) and novel CDR technologies are not included in this analysis due to data limitations from the assessed models. Furthermore, in the global cost-effective model pathways we analyse, such negative emissions sources are usually underestimated in developed country regions, with current-generation models relying on land sinks in developing countries.
Methodology
Data References
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Renewables will be central to a 1.5°C power sector
Across all pathways, renewable energy is the primary lever with which to achieve a 1.5°C compatible power sector (94-98% by 2050). The remainder is likely to be supplemented by hydrogen. Meanwhile, fossil fuels are rapidly phased out of the power sector.
A 1.5°C transport sector can focus more on rapid electrification or reducing final energy demand
The pathway with the highest increase in transport energy demand also shows the strongest electrification of transport (71% by 2040). Alternatively, pathways with slower electrification rates see stronger reductions in final energy demand, which can be achieved by expanding public transport.