What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

In 2019, oil accounted for 95% of the transport energy mix.²2 Emissions reductions in the transport sector will therefore be driven by substituting oil use with low-carbon alternatives, primarily electricity. Algeria’s electric vehicle market remains nascent, though it aims to install 1,000 charging stations by 2025 as well as become an EV manufacturer.³3

The Deep Electrification pathway, which best captures the rapid cost reduction of renewables, would see the fastest electrification of the sector, spurred by a policy framework fostering the rollout of charging infrastructure and deployment of electric vehicles. The share of electricity in the transport mix would rise to 13% by 2030 and 89% by 2050. Meanwhile, the share of oil would fall to 85% in 2030 and 10% in 2050.

The Minimal CDR Reliance pathway sees a slower oil phase out but has the lowest energy demand of the assessed pathways. Electrification rises to 9% in 2030 and 70% in 2050, with a corresponding sharp drop in the share of oil to 90% in 2030 and 28% in 2050. Energy demand would be 484 PJ/yr under this pathway, significantly less than the 740 PJ/yr seen under the Deep Electrification pathway. Such a pathway could be realised by investing in public transport, thereby reducing the need to electrify the sector as quickly as a result of lower final energy demand.