What is South Africa's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

South Africa

South Africa’s LULUCF sink set to shrink under 1.5ºC pathways

While the land use, land change and forestry (LULUCF) sector in South Africa is currently a net sink, absorbing more CO2 than it emits, impacts from climate change like wildfire and water stress contribute to a gradual decline in the sink through mid-century.

Reforestation potential of 371,000 hectares

South Africa has potential to reforest a further 371,000 hectares, which could, If implemented, remove an additional 2.81 MtCO2/year. However, South Africa should avoid reliance on expanding the LULUCF sink in lieu of deeper emissions reductions in other sectors, which is risky given the uncertainty around the future sink and its increasing vulnerability due to climate change.

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