What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Power
Decarbonising the power sector
Like its primary energy mix, Algeria’s power supply is dominated by fossil fuels. In 2019, gas supplied 99% of electricity, while renewables contributed 1%. Algeria’s NDC states that the government aims to produce 27% of electricity from renewables by 2030.1 The government also targets 15 GW of renewables in the power sector by 2035.2
Algeria's power mix
terawatt-hour per year
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Graph description
Power energy mix composition in generation (TWh) and capacities (GW) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways. Selected countries include the Stated Policies Scenario from the IEA's World Energy Outlook 2023.
Methodology
Data References
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The Deep Electrification pathway would see the most rapid electrification of Algeria’s power sector, driven by rapidly declining renewables costs. By 2030, renewables account for 55% of electricity supply under this pathway, rising to 96% by 2050.
The Minimal CDR Reliance pathway sees a slower renewables rollout than the Deep Electrification pathway. It also envisions lower electricity demand, however, which can be achieved through robust energy efficiency policies. Renewables would contribute 30% of the power mix in 2030 and 94% by 2050 under the Minimal CDR reliance pathway.
In both pathways, hydrogen plays a small role in meeting electricity demand (4-6% in 2050).
Fossil gas is effectively phased out by 2040 across all pathways. By 2030, it would have a 42-66% share in electricity production, with this share tumbling to 2-14% by 2035. This shift away from gas would require strong policy interventions and financial support for the expansion of renewables.
Algeria's power sector emissions and carbon intensity
MtCO₂/yr
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Graph description
Emissions and carbon intensity of the power sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible power sector benchmarks
Carbon intensity, renewable generation share, and fossil fuel generation share from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Algeria
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised power sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Carbon intensity of power
gCO₂/kWh
|
484
|
200 to
334
|
10 to
69
|
6 to
10
|
-1 to
3
|
2041 to
2046
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-59 to
-31%
|
-98 to
-86%
|
-99 to
-98%
|
-100 to
-99%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of unabated coal
per cent
|
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
|
Share of unabated gas
per cent
|
99
|
42 to
66
|
2 to
14
|
1 to
2
|
0 to
1
|
|
Share of renewable energy
per cent
|
1
|
30 to
55
|
81 to
95
|
93 to
95
|
94 to
98
|
BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks
All values are rounded
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Methodology
Data References
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