What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Buildings

Decarbonising the building sector

The buildings sector accounted for 13% of Algeria’s emissions in 2022.1,2 Fossil gas made up 72% of the mix, oil 10%, and electricity (including a very small share of biomass) met the remaining 18% of demand.3

The Deep Electrification pathway, which best captures the potential for rapid electrification to drive fossil fuels out of the energy system, relies the most on electricity to phase out fossil fuels in the buildings sector. By 2050, the share of electricity rises to 93%. The remainder of energy demand in the buildings sector is addressed through heat (e.g. through harnessing Algeria’s significant geothermal potential).4 As a result of this deep electrification, oil is phased out of the buildings sector by 2050, though gas continues to play a small role (4% of energy demand). The Deep Electrification pathway sees the highest final energy demand by 2050, at 710 PJ/yr.

Algeria's energy mix in the buildings sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Fuel shares refer only to energy demand of the sector. Deployment of synthetic fuels is not represented in these pathways.

The Minimal CDR Reliance pathway also primarily relies on electricity to push fossil fuels out of the system and align with 1.5°C, as well as slows the increase in final energy demand further than is achieved under the Deep Electrification pathway. Electricity makes up 34% of the buildings sector’s energy mix in 2030, though the role of heat (e.g. geothermal) and biomass increases through the 2030s and 2040s. Together they account for 8% of the energy mix in 2050, while electricity meets 84%. Similar to the Deep Electrification pathway, oil is mostly phased out of the system by 2050, though fossil gas supplies 7% of demand.

Algeria's buildings sector direct CO₂ emissions (from energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible buildings sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, heat and biomass in the buildings final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Algeria

Indicator
2022
2030
2035
2040
2050
Buildings sector decarbonised by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
29
20 to 24
17 to 20
9 to 11
2 to 3
2049 to 2064
Relative to reference year in %
-31 to -17%
-41 to -31%
-69 to -62%
-93 to -90%
Indicator
2022
2030
2035
2040
2050
Share of electricity
%
10
31 to 35
37 to 44
62 to 70
84 to 93
Share of heat
%
0
1 to 1
1 to 2
1 to 4
2 to 7
Share of hydrogen
%
0
0 to 0
0 to 0
0 to 0
0 to 0

All values are rounded. Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector analysis, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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