What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Industry
Decarbonising the industry sector
Algeria’s manufacturing industries were responsible for 12% of the country’s emissions in 2019, with energy-related emissions accounting for 5% and process-related emissions 7%.
Algeria's energy mix in the industry sector
petajoule per year
Fuel shares refer only to energy demand of the sector. Deployment of synthetic fuels is not represented in these pathways.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the industry sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible pathways show industry sector CO2 emissions from energy demand fall from 14 MtCO2 to 4-11 MtCO2 by 2030 and 1 MtCO2 by 2050. Given that energy-related CO2 emissions come from fossil fuels, their current share of 75% in the industry fuel mix would need to be replaced by electricity from a decarbonised power grid.
The Minimal CDR Reliance pathway sets Algerian industry on a pathway which avoids dependence on expensive CDR removal technologies to align with 1.5°C. According to this pathway, the combined share of electricity, hydrogen, and biomass would make up 45% of the mix in 2030, further increasing to 97% by 2050, the bulk of which would come from decarbonised electricity.
To be aligned with 1.5°C, Algeria’s process emissions would need to drop from 19 MtCO2e in 2021 to 11-15 MtCO2e in 2030, and 3-4 MtCO2e in 2050. As Algeria’s process emissions mainly come from cement production, emissions reductions in this sub-sector will be critical to align the industry sector with 1.5°C.1
Aside from energy use and process emissions, Algeria’s hydrocarbon industry, i.e. production of oil and gas, is one of the most emissions-intensive in the world.2 The hydrocarbon industry is responsible for almost one-third of Algeria’s overall energy emissions, with much of this a result of natural gas production, transformation and transport activities, as well as flaring and venting.3,4,5 The government targets a reduction in the volume of gas flaring during production to less than 1% of total volumes by 2030 in its 2015 NDC, though does not provide targets to address venting.6
Algeria's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (from energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the industry sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Algeria's GHG emissions from industrial processes
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
1.5°C compatible CO₂ emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total CO₂ emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC AR6, defined by the 5th and 5th percentiles.
Data References
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1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions, direct electrification rates, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Algeria
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised industry sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
14
|
4 to
11
|
4 to
9
|
3 to
4
|
1 to
1
|
2045 to
2054
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-71 to
-21%
|
-71 to
-36%
|
-79 to
-71%
|
-93 to
-93%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
25
|
40 to
60
|
48 to
73
|
70 to
82
|
72 to
94
|
|
Share of electricity, hydrogen and biomass
per cent
|
25
|
45 to
63
|
53 to
76
|
79 to
87
|
92 to
97
|
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector analysis, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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