What is Bangladesh's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Energy consumption of the transport sector in Bangladesh has been steadily increasing since 2008, with the sector consuming 12% of total energy in 2019.1 The share of electricity is currently around zero and is required to grow up to 4-9% by 2030 and 21-24% by 2050 in analysed 1.5°C compatible pathways. All scenarios see a rapid decline in direct CO₂ emissions from transport sector to 0-5 MtCO₂/yr by 2050 from 12 MtCO₂/yr in 2019, mostly driven by a high electrification rate and introduction of biofuels in the fuel mix.
Bangladesh's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Energy demand for transport sector is currently completely met by fossil fuels (100% in 2019), mostly oil (70%) and natural gas (30%). All 1.5ºC-compatible scenarios show a declining share of fossil energy in the transport sector’s energy mix from 2019.
To achieve greater efficiency in transport, Bangladesh aims the expansion of its Mass Rapid Transit and Bus Rapid Transit system in Dhaka City with maiden electric bus service.2,3 Bangladeshi government plans to construct 798 km of new rail line by 2025 and to introduce energy-efficient locomotives.4
Bangladesh's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Bangladesh
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
12
|
5 to
9
|
4 to
5
|
0 to
5
|
2048 to
2065
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-56 to
-27%
|
-63 to
-56%
|
-100 to
-59%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
0
|
4 to
9
|
11 to
16
|
21 to
24
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
2
|
1 to
6
|
2 to
12
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
2 to
21
|
44 to
48
|
52 to
77
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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