What is Bangladesh's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Industry
Industrial energy demand has steadily increased over the last two decades at annual rate of around 9%.1 In 2019, the industrial sector was responsible for 33% of the total final energy consumption, accounting for 44% of final electricity demand.2 To be 1.5°C compatible, the share of electricity in the industrial energy mix would need to reach 76-80% by 2050 from 28% in 2019. Different scenarios demonstrate a rapid decline in direct CO₂ emissions from the industrial sector to 2-6 MtCO₂/yr by 2050, from 25 MtCO₂/yr in 2019, mostly driven by a widespread adoption of energy efficiency measures and an increased penetration of decarbonised electricity (see our analysis of the power sector in Bangladesh).
Bangladesh's energy mix in the industry sector
petajoule per year
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the industry sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Energy demand for the industrial sector is currently dominated by fossil fuels (i.e. 73% in 2019), mostly natural gas. All scenarios except one demonstrate a declining trend of fossil energy demand by 2030.
In 2015, the Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources launched Energy Efficiency and Conservation Master Plan up to 2030, outlining how to reduce the industrial sector’s energy intensity by 20% by 2030 (compared to 2013 levels). Through energy efficiency and conservation measures, it also aims to reduce the sector’s energy consumption by 20%, leading to up to a 10.5% reduction in total energy consumption.3 Additionally, the Green Transformation Fund (GTF) of Bangladesh (USD$ 200 million) finances manufacturing technology upgrades for energy and water efficiency outcomes, and was recently expanded to include all subsectors.4
Bangladesh's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the industry sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Bangladesh's GHG emissions from industrial processes
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
1.5°C compatible CO₂ emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total CO₂ emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC SR1.5, defined by the 5th and 5th percentiles.
Data References
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1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions, shares of electricity, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Bangladesh
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised industry sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
25
|
12 to
19
|
3 to
9
|
2 to
6
|
2040 to
2056
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-51 to
-23%
|
-86 to
-64%
|
-94 to
-77%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
28
|
38 to
47
|
60 to
69
|
76 to
80
|
|
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
per cent
|
28
|
40 to
49
|
64 to
95
|
79 to
98
|
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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