What is Poland's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Buildings
Between 1990 and 2019 emissions from the buildings sector in Poland decreased by 12%, a slightly slower rate of decrease than for overall emissions, which fell by 16% in the same period. That was significantly lower than the EU’s rate of decrease where emissions fell by 29% in the buildings sector. The share of emissions from this sector in overall emissions increased slightly from 8.5% in 1990 to 14% 2019.
Poland's energy mix in the buildings sector
petajoule per year
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the buildings sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Poland’s buildings sector relies heavily on coal for heating. Over 75% of coal burned directly in EU households in 2018 was burned in Poland – an increase of 4% in comparison to a decade earlier. This has significant negative impacts, not only for CO₂ emissions, but also for high levels of air pollution.
As a result, moving away from coal in the household sector, mainly through electrification and heat pumps, would not only reduce GHGs emissions, but would also have significant co-benefits in the form of improved air quality. According to 1.5°C compatible scenarios, by 2030 the share of electricity as the source of energy in the household is set to double and reach 48% and almost triple to 67% by 2050.
Poland’s housing sector has significant energy efficiency potential. Implementation of energy efficiency measures is essential in getting the sector on a 1.5°C emissions pathway. Energy efficiency can be improved by strict standards for new builds and deep renovation of existing building stock. In addition, some scenarios assume hydrogen to play a role especially post 2030. Through electrification, energy efficiency measures and the use of green hydrogen, the Polish buildings sector can be almost completely decarbonised between 2047 and 2050.
Poland's buildings sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the buildings sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible buildings sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, heat and hydrogen in the buildings final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Poland
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised buildings sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
36
|
16 to
17
|
8 to
10
|
3 to
6
|
2047 to
2050
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-55 to
-53%
|
-78 to
-73%
|
-92 to
-84%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
26
|
40 to
48
|
50 to
54
|
58 to
67
|
|
Share of heat
per cent
|
19
|
23 to
26
|
29 to
30
|
33 to
38
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
11
|
8 to
14
|
15 to
17
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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