Egypt’s 2017 conditional NDC does not include an emissions reduction target. Instead, the NDC lists broad actions across the energy (including oil and gas), agriculture, waste, and industrial processes sectors to mitigate emissions.
Setting an emissions reduction target would be the first step towards a decarbonisation pathway. In order to be 1.5°C compatible, Egypt would need to peak its GHG emissions pretty much immediately and reduce its emissions by 25% below 2015 levels by 2030 so as to reach emissions levels of 221 MtCO₂e/yr when excluding LULUCF in 2030.
To close its emissions gap, Egypt’s NDC states the needs for financial support from Annex I parties in addition to technology transfer and local capacity building. It is not clear whether Egypt intends to submit a revised NDC.
Egypt does not have a net zero target or long-term strategy. 1.5°C compatible pathways show emissions reductions of 57-70% by 2050 below 2015 levels when excluding LULUCF emissions. On the road to net zero, the country will need to balance remaining emissions through the use of carbon dioxide removal approaches, such as land sinks.
Achieving net zero CO₂ will depend on the rapid decarbonisation of the power sector, as this is a catalyst for the decarbonisation of other sectors.