What is Israel's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Current Situation
Emissions profile
Israel’s greenhouse gas emissions increased by 104% between 1990 and 2019, from 43 MtCO₂e to 88 MtCO₂e.1 The majority of emissions (78%) come from the energy sector, meaning decarbonising the power, industry and transport sectors will be central to efforts to bring Israel in line with the Paris Agreement.
The power sector accounts for the biggest share of energy emissions, at 39% of total emissions in 2019. This was followed by transport at 21% of GHG emissions. Industrial processes and waste each contributed 10% respectively to Israel’s total emissions (excl. LULUCF). Based on Israel third national communication to the UNFCCC, LULUCF emissions are negligible in the country, accounting for less than 1% of total emissions.
Israel’s population is expanding at a rate of 2% per year and the government is faced with the dual challenge of reducing emissions while managing a rapidly growing population.2 The government’s commitment to reduce emissions by 27% by 2030 relative to 2015 levels, as outlined in its recent NDC, is more ambitious than the previous target (which was resulting in an increase of emissions of around 1% above 2015 levels by 2030).3 However, it is still incompatible with meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement, see the ambition gap section.
Israel's current GHG emissions
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
Historical emissions per gas and per sector. LULUCF emissions are not available
Data References
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Energy system
Energy-related emissions constitute a large majority (78% in 2019) of Israel’s total GHG emissions due to a heavy reliance on fossil fuels. Oil comprises the largest share of the energy mix (40%), followed by gas (35%), coal (21%), and finally renewables (3%).
Israel’s NDC outlines a number of commitments regarding energy use. These include reducing emissions from electricity generation by 30% compared to 2015 levels and phasing out coal-fired power generation by 2026.4 While positive steps, these commitments are not sufficient to transition the country to a zero emissions economy.
In February 2022, Israel published an action plan which aims for a 40% share of renewables in its power mix by 2030.5 There is, however, significant room for improvement, and the country would benefit from stronger incentives for renewable energy deployment. So far, the government has been slow to make use of the vast potential for solar power while at the same time it has been expanding fossil gas infrastructure.6
Targets and commitments
Economy-wide targets
Target type
Base year emissions target
NDC target
Unconditional target:
- 27% below 2015 by 2030 (incl. LULUCF)
Market mechanisms
- From 2023–2028 Israel will implement a carbon tax. Its scope will gradually increase and is expected to cover around 80% of Israel’s GHGs.7
Long-term target
- Israel has set a 2050 target to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 85% relative to 2015 levels.8
Sectoral targets
Energy
- To set a new target so that energy intensity of GDP by 2030 would reach 122MWh/NIS 1 million.9
Power
- A 30% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation by 2030 compared to emissions in 2015.10
- The share of renewable power generation to increase to 30% by 2030 (NDC), updated to 40% by 2030 in Israel’s renewable energy roadmap.11
- Coal-fired power generation phased out by no later than 2026.12
Industry
- At least a 30% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from industry by 2030 relative to 2015 levels.13
Transport
- The increase in emissions from the transport sector limited to 3.3% above 2015 levels by 2030.14
Waste
- Transition from current levels of 80% waste landfilling to 20% by 2030.15