What is Ecuador's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Emissions from the transport sector in Ecuador more than doubled from 1990 to 2019 as fleets of both commercial and passenger vehicles have grown. Electricity, hydrogen and biomass met less than 1% of the final energy demand in the sector in 2019. Under a 1.5°C compatible scenario, emissions from the sector need to be reduced by between 77% and 88% below 2019 levels by 2050. The sector could be fully decarbonised by 2060 with a sufficiently rapid electrification and utilisation of renewable hydrogen.
Ecuador's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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As part of its NDC implementation, Ecuador aims to develop an efficient public transportation system for example by building 22 km of metro lines and 12 km of tramway in Quito. While positive developments, these projects will only have a small overall impact on sectoral emissions. As part of its conditional NDC’s implementation targets, Ecuador will also develop a National Appropriate Mitigation Action (NAMA) project for the transport sector to define actions for emission reductions focusing on passenger and freight transport modes.1
Some emissions reductions can be achieved by creating opportunities for sustainable and efficient public transport. However, reducing emissions from private transport will have to be the main focus to follow a 1.5°C compatible pathway.
Ecuador's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Ecuador
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
19
|
12 to
15
|
8 to
9
|
2 to
4
|
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-37 to
-25%
|
-58 to
-55%
|
-88 to
-77%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
6
|
7 to
21
|
18 to
45
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
1
|
1 to
19
|
5 to
34
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
13
|
6 to
54
|
28 to
72
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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