What is Brazil's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Industry
Emissions from the Brazilian industry sector have doubled since 1990, accounting for 10% of total emissions in 2017. Under current policies, emissions are expected to continue increasing.1
Brazil's energy mix in the industry sector
petajoule per year
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the industry sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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The share of electricity, hydrogen and biomass in the industry sector in 2019 was 65%, with a high dependency on biomass. All of the 1.5°C compatible scenarios show an increase in electrification, and electricity, hydrogen and biomass options together almost entirely replace the use of coal and other fossil fuels by 2040, around when the sector is decarbonised. A potential new fuel for Brazil’s industry sector is hydrogen, with investments already underway and more being actively sought.2 There is also an identified potential for industry sector emissions to be reduced through energy efficiency, circular economy and the use of bioenergy from waste.3
The main process-related sources of emissions in Brazil are the production of cement, steel, iron and lime. Emissions from steel production represent the biggest share of Brazil’s total industry emissions. Heavy reliance on biomass has led to pressure on native forests, and the government has proposed a reduction in the use of biomass from natural forests.4
Brazil's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the industry sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Brazil's GHG emissions from industrial processes
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
1.5°C compatible CO₂ emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total CO₂ emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC SR1.5, defined by the 5th and 5th percentiles.
Data References
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1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions, shares of electricity, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Brazil
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised industry sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
113
|
49 to
58
|
6 to
7
|
0 to
4
|
2037 to
2038
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-56 to
-48%
|
-95 to
-94%
|
-100 to
-97%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
23
|
37 to
39
|
50 to
61
|
60 to
69
|
|
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
per cent
|
65
|
75 to
77
|
85 to
98
|
95 to
99
|
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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