What is Bosnia and Herzegovina's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Energy-related emissions in BiH’s transport sector grew by nearly 100% from about 2 MtCO₂e in 1990 to 4 MtCO₂e in 2019. During the same period, the emissions intensity stayed approximately the same at about 72 gCO₂/MJ. This is because the energy mix of the transport sector in BiH relies solely on oil, despite electrification increasing very slowly since 2008. In 2019, electricity and fossil gas each constituted only 1% of the energy consumed in transport.
Bosnia and Herzegovina's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
-
Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
-
To align with 1.5°C compatible pathways, the transport sector would need to be more heavily electrified, reaching between 11-42% by 2050, with corresponding drops in the share of oil.
Currently, BiH’s transport policies are not in line with the 1.5°C limit. Although 98% of transport takes place by road with just 2% by rail, BiH does not have clearly defined targets for a modal shift in transport, and neither do FBiH and RS.1,2 FBiH earmarked EUR 1 million to provide subsidies of up to EUR 5000 for the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) and extended this scheme in 2023.3 Alongside support for EVs, investments in rail infrastructure can allow BiH to meet its Paris Agreement commitments and overall connectivity. More needs to be done across all entities to get the sector on a 1.5°C pathway by 2030.
Bosnia and Herzegovina's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
-
Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
-
1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Bosnia and Herzegovina
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
4
|
2 to
3
|
1 to
2
|
1 to
1
|
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-59 to
-13%
|
-71 to
-48%
|
-81 to
-81%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
0
|
3 to
11
|
7 to
30
|
11 to
42
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
0
|
0 to
0
|
1 to
1
|
0 to
3
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
2 to
8
|
8 to
40
|
40 to
58
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
-
Methodology
Data References
-