Raising 2030 ambition
Algeria’s NDC sets an unconditional target of reducing GHG emissions by 7% by 2030 compared to business-as-usual (BAU) levels. This translates into an increase in emissions of 16–39% above 2015 levels or around 291–351 MtCO₂e by 2030, excluding LULUCF., Provided that it receives adequate international support, Algeria is committed to reducing its GHG emissions by 22% by 2030 below BAU. This translates into an emissions level that ranges between a 3% reduction and 25% increase compared to 2015 levels, excluding LULUCF., To be in line with a 1.5°C compatible pathway, Algeria would need to reduce emissions by 42–52% below 2015 levels by 2030, equalling to an emissions level of 122–147 MtCO₂e/yr.
Long term pathway
As of January 2022, Algeria has not communicated a net zero target nor submitted a Long-Term Emissions Strategy to the UNFCCC. To be aligned with 1.5°C compatible pathways, Algeria’s GHG emissions would need to decline to 35–44 MtCO₂e/yr or 82–86% below 2015 levels by 2050. Achieving these goals would require stringent and ambitious policies, especially in the industry sector. Algeria’s economy is heavily reliant on fossil fuels exports. Moving away from fossil fuel industry and diversifying the economy would help the country achieve its climate goals and build a stronger and more sustainable economy.