What is Senegal's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Decarbonising the transport sector
Senegal’s transport emissions have risen steadily since the 1990s, with 100% of the energy consumption coming from imported oil in 2022.
Senegal's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
Fuel shares refer only to energy demand of the sector. Deployment of synthetic fuels is not represented in these pathways.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Energy demand in transport is expected to continue growing, with oil remaining the dominant fuel in all pathways up to 2040. Electrification gradually increases across all the pathways, but most noticeably in the Deep Electrification pathway. That pathway would enable Senegal to shift towards a higher share of electricity in transport (up to 63% in 2050), representing a 60% GHG emissions reduction compared to 2010 levels. Transitioning away from oil would reduce costly oil imports and strengthen energy independence and security of supply.
Senegal currently does not have a national strategy to support the uptake of electric vehicles (EVs) or development of charging infrastructure. Several public transport projects are underway, however, expanding public transport both across the country and in the capital city of Dakar. The Dakar-AIBD regional express train began running in December 2021 linked the capital and a regional hub city 36km away with hybrid (electricity and diesel) trains. The second phase, extending the line to the airport, is expected to be completed in 2026.1 This investment needed was provided by international development banks.2, 3, 4
While several African cities now have Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems, the capital’s BRT is the only electrified BRT on the continent.5 Launched in December 2023, the World Bank forecast that it would result in a decrease in GHG emissions over three decades, equivalent to removing 260 000 cars from the roads.6
Senegal's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (from energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Senegal
| Indicator |
2022
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
5
|
4 to
5
|
5 to
6
|
4 to
6
|
2 to
5
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-20 to
0%
|
0 to
20%
|
-20 to
20%
|
-60 to
0%
|
| Indicator |
2022
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
%
|
0
|
1 to
2
|
1 to
8
|
3 to
19
|
15 to
63
|
|
Share of biofuels
%
|
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
6
|
|
Share of hydrogen
%
|
0
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
1
|
3 to
3
|
All values are rounded. Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector analysis, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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