What is Senegal's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Power
Decarbonising the power sector
Senegal’s power sector is dominated by oil (76%) and coal (15%), while renewables reached 8% in 2019, of which about 2% came from biomass. Under all pathways, oil and coal is rapidly replaced by non-biomass renewables and fossil fuels are effectively phased out before 2040, with coal phased out around 2032.
Senegal's power mix
terawatt-hour per year
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Graph description
Power energy mix composition in generation (TWh) and capacities (GW) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways. Selected countries include the Stated Policies Scenario from the IEA's World Energy Outlook 2023.
Methodology
Data References
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All pathways see a sharp increase in renewable energy, reaching a share of 77-90% by 2030, coupled with a significant decrease in oil in the power mix. In such pathways, the carbon intensity of power decreases by 88-93% by 2030 compared to 2019 levels. Although pathways show an increase in power generation based on fossil gas in the current decade, some scenarios show a phase out of fossil gas as early as the following decade, creating the risk of stranded assets.1
As Senegal advances toward universal electricity access by 2025,2 the country has an opportunity to drive the decarbonisation of its end-use sectors while decarbonising power production.
Senegal's power sector emissions and carbon intensity
MtCO₂/yr
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Graph description
Emissions and carbon intensity of the power sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible power sector benchmarks
Carbon intensity, renewable generation share, and fossil fuel generation share from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Senegal
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised power sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Carbon intensity of power
gCO₂/kWh
|
893
|
64 to
96
|
2 to
16
|
-1 to
3
|
-5 to
2
|
2035 to
2039
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-93 to
-89%
|
-100 to
-98%
|
-100 to
-100%
|
-101 to
-100%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of unabated coal
per cent
|
15
|
0 to
2
|
0 to
1
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
|
Share of unabated gas
per cent
|
1
|
0 to
16
|
0 to
4
|
0 to
0
|
0 to
0
|
|
Share of renewable energy
per cent
|
8
|
77 to
90
|
94 to
99
|
94 to
100
|
90 to
100
|
BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks
All values are rounded
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Methodology
Data References
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