What is Ethiopia's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
The transport sector in Ethiopia contributes 3% of total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
Ethiopia's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible pathways show an increase in electrification to 11-21% by 2030 and 44% by 2050 from 0% in 2019. The sector would need to decarbonise between 2045 and 2047 to align with 1.5°C. Aside from electrification, full decarbonisation will rely on the rollout of either hydrogen (33-54% by 2050) or biomass (15-64% by 2050), depending on which pathways the government follows.
Ethiopia’s National Transport Policy aims at reducing emissions through the electrification of the sector and the expansion of the country’s light rail network. Other measures in the policy include the Addis Ababa-Djibouti railway project, which is now operational, and measures in support of Ethiopia’s mass transit plans. Similarly, its updated NDC envisages reductions in transport emissions through fuel efficiency, bus rapid transit (BRT) and Non-Motorised Transport (NMT) infrastructure, electric vehicles, rail transport, including the expansion of the Addis light rail, and the uptake and promotion of low-carbon technologies.1-2
Ethiopia's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Ethiopia
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
8
|
4 to
5
|
2 to
3
|
0 to
1
|
2045 to
2047
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-46 to
-41%
|
-76 to
-67%
|
-100 to
-88%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
0
|
11 to
21
|
27 to
36
|
44 to
44
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
0
|
8 to
17
|
6 to
64
|
15 to
64
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
9
|
26 to
34
|
33 to
54
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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