What is Colombia's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Colombia’s transport emissions are significant and have been increasing since the start of the century. The proposed measures encompassed in Colombia’s NDC include a target to increase the stock of electric vehicles to 600,000 by 2030. This goal is enshrined in law 1964, which proposes incentives and a requirement for improving public charging infrastructure. Other measures include modernising the freight fleet of vehicles weighing over 10.5 tonnes and that are 20 years or older, aiming to replace at least 57,000 vehicles. These measures, however, are not yet sufficient and should be strengthened, for example by aiming for 95% of passenger vehicle sales to be electric by 2030.
Colombia's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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All scenarios analysed see a decrease in fossil fuels, with electricity, biofuels, and hydrogen all potentially playing significant roles, together making up over 90% by 2050. To ensure Colombia’s transport sector is aligned with 1.5°C compatible pathways, CO₂ emissions would need to fall by at least 36% below 2019 levels by 2030, reaching zero by around 2050.
Colombia's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Colombia
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
31
|
18 to
20
|
6 to
9
|
1 to
3
|
2050 to
2063
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-43 to
-36%
|
-81 to
-71%
|
-97 to
-92%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
0
|
2 to
7
|
9 to
23
|
22 to
48
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
6
|
12 to
17
|
18 to
66
|
30 to
66
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
15
|
7 to
58
|
29 to
73
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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