What is Colombia's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Industry
Emissions from the industry sector (energy-related and process emissions) represent around 18% of Colombia’s total GHG emissions, excluding LULUCF, and have increased by 140% between 1990 and 2019.1,2 Industrial processes in mineral industries are the main source of emissions.3 Currently, energy demand in industry is dominated by fossil fuels (54% coal/gas/oil) and biomass (21%).4 Colombia’s industry sector goals include reducing the consumption of fossil fuels in the cement industry by 15% through the use of waste and other by-products.5
Colombia's energy mix in the industry sector
petajoule per year
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the industry sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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To align with 1.5°C pathways, Colombia’s direct industry CO₂emissions would need to fall by 48-57% below 2019 levels by 2030.
The derived 1.5°C compatible pathways show a wide range of decarbonisation options for the sector. Electricity’s share of final energy demand would need to increase to about 40% by 2030 and to about 70% by 2050, with the share of electricity, biomass and hydrogen reaching between 78-98% by 2040.
Several scenarios show process emissions remaining high across the following decades, which reflects the relative difficulty in reducing these emissions compared with other sectors. Technological advancements may enable these to be further reduced, and any residual process emissions will need to be abated through the use of negative emissions technologies and efforts.
Colombia's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the industry sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Colombia's GHG emissions from industrial processes
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
1.5°C compatible CO₂ emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total CO₂ emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC SR1.5, defined by the 5th and 5th percentiles.
Data References
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1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions, shares of electricity, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Colombia
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised industry sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
19
|
6 to
10
|
1 to
1
|
-0 to
1
|
2038
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-67 to
-48%
|
-97 to
-95%
|
-100 to
-97%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
25
|
37 to
41
|
58 to
64
|
70 to
72
|
|
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
per cent
|
45
|
63 to
64
|
78 to
98
|
95 to
99
|
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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