Emissions from the transport sector account for almost 25% of total national GHG emissions in Chile.1
The government’s Energy Strategy sets an emissions reduction target for the sector of 40% by 2050 below 2018 levels.13 Other targets include a 100% zero emission bus and taxi fleet in urban public and private transport by 2040. By 2035, all new light and medium duty vehicles and urban public transport should be zero emission vehicles, according to the strategy, and by 2050 at least 60% of the private and commercial car fleet should be zero emission vehicles.5
But despite these positive developments, Chile’s policies and goals are not yet aligned with the assessed 1.5°C pathways. To be 1.5°C compatible, the transport sector in Chile would need to be fully decarbonised by 2050, with the share of electrification reaching over 50% by 2040.
9 Gobierno de of Chile. Presidente Piñera presentó plan para cerrar todas las centrales energéticas a carbón para que Chile sea carbono neutral. 4 de Junio. 2019.
10 Government of Chile. Chile’s Nationally Determined Contribution – Update 2020. 2020.
17 Ministerio de Energía. Energía 2050: Política Energética de Chile. 2015.
18 Gütschow, J., Günther, A. & Pflüger, M. The PRIMAP-Hist national historical emissions time series (1990-2021). 2022.
19 While global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC Special Report 1.5°C provide useful guidance for an upper-limit of emissions trajectories for developed countries, they underestimate the feasible space for such countries to reach net zero earlier. The current generation of models tend to depend strongly on land-use sinks outside of currently developed countries and include fossil fuel use well beyond the time at which these could be phased out, compared to what is understood from bottom-up approaches. The scientific teams which provide these global pathways constantly improve the technologies represented in their models – and novel CDR technologies are now being included in new studies focused on deep mitigation scenarios meeting the Paris Agreement goal. A wide assessment database of these new scenarios is not yet available; thus, we rely on available scenarios which focus particularly on BECCS as a net-negative emission technology. Accordingly, we do not yet consider land-sector emissions (LULUCF) and other CDR approaches.