What is Chile's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Industry
Decarbonising the industry sector
Chile’s industry sector was responsible for 22% of emissions in 2022, split between energy use (15%) and process emissions (7%). To align with 1.5°C compatible pathways, full industry decarbonisation would take place in the mid-2040s.
Chile's energy mix in the industry sector
petajoule per year
Fuel shares refer only to energy demand of the sector. Deployment of synthetic fuels is not represented in these pathways.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the industry sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC AR6 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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In the Deep electrification pathway – which captures the rapid cost reductions seen in wind and solar over the past decade and potential for future progress, – electricity, biomass, biofuels and hydrogen account for roughly 60% of the 2030 energy mix for industry energy demand and processes. Increasing electrification, hydrogen and biofuel use push coal, oil and fossil gas out of the system by mid-century.
The Net-Zero Commitments pathway – which reaches global net zero CO2 emissions around 2050 – shows similar growth in biomass and biofuels but introduces more hydrogen from around 2030 and reaching 11% of the energy mix in the industry sector by 2050.
The mining industry in Chile is a significant source of energy demand and emissions. Chile is also one of the world’s top producers of energy transition materials including copper and lithium.1 The materials that Chile’s mining sector produces will be critical to the sector’s own decarbonisation and the mining sector will need to balance achieving emissions reduction targets while meeting increasing demand. On-site mini-grids, thermal electrification, electric vehicles and decarbonisation of the power sector will help support emissions reductions in the industry.
Chile's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (from energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the industry sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Chile's GHG emissions from industrial processes
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
1.5°C compatible CO₂ emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total CO₂ emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC AR6, defined by the 5th and 5th percentiles.
Data References
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1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions, direct electrification rates, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Chile
| Indicator |
2022
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
Industry sector decarbonised by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
17
|
13 to
18
|
10 to
15
|
5 to
10
|
-3 to
8
|
2043 to
2047
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-24 to
6%
|
-41 to
-12%
|
-71 to
-41%
|
-118 to
-53%
|
| Indicator |
2022
|
2030
|
2035
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
%
|
25
|
40 to
43
|
43 to
47
|
46 to
55
|
46 to
60
|
|
Share of electricity, hydrogen and biomass
%
|
34
|
61 to
65
|
67 to
74
|
73 to
86
|
80 to
100
|
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector analysis, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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