What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Transport

Emissions from the transport sector in Algeria increased from 16 MtCO₂e in 1990 to 46 MtCO₂e in 2019, a dramatic 189% increase. In its REEEDP, Algeria has committed to promote fuels based on Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG) and fossil gas in the transport sector. Such measures are not in line with 1.5°C compatible pathways which require a full phase-out of fossil fuels.

Algeria's energy mix in the transport sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Our analysis of 1.5 °C compatible pathways shows that the sector’s emissions could decline to around 17–20 MtCO₂e in 2030, and the sector could be fully decarbonised between 2046 and 2059. The adoption of electric vehicles (EV) and use of renewable fuels are two main drivers of emissions reductions in the transport sector. Under 1.5°C compatible scenarios electrification of the sector increases from 1% in 2019 to 9–59% in 2030 and 55–95% in 2050.

Algeria's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Algeria

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised transport sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
46
17 to 20
4 to 13
0 to 7
2046 to 2059
Relative to reference year in %
-63 to -57%
-91 to -72%
-99 to -84%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
1
9 to 59
34 to 88
55 to 95
Share of biofuels
per cent
0
1 to 3
5 to 7
9 to 15
Share of hydrogen
per cent
0
0 to 12
3 to 36
6 to 40

All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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