What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Power

Power generation in Algeria is currently dominated by fossil fuels with more than 98% being produced from fossil gas, followed by oil. Less than 0.3% of electricity is generated from renewable energy sources, mostly hydropower. Diversifying the power mix and increasing the share of renewable energy would make the sector more sustainable and more resilient.

Even though the Algerian government has put in place financial incentives to diversify the electricity production, the use of fossil gas has kept increasing, growing by around 107% between 2008 and 2020. The country has set the goal of achieving 40% of national electricity generation from renewable sources (37% and 3% from solar and wind power respectively) by 2030.1 Under the Framework of Sustainable Development, Algeria has also adopted measures to promote the development of low-carbon energy.2,3 However, much more stringent measures are needed for the power sector to reduce emissions in line with the 1.5°C goal. Our analysis shows that for the sector to become 1.5°C compatible, the use of fossil gas needs to be halved by 2030, and renewable energy needs to reach more than a 90% share in the power mix by 2040. With international support, Algeria could fully decarbonise its power sector by around 2040.

Algeria's power mix

terawatt-hour per year

Scaling

In the 100%RE scenario, non-energy fossil fuel demand is not included.

  • Graph description

    Power energy mix composition in generation (TWh) and capacities (GW) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways and a 100% renewable energy pathway. Selected countries include the Stated Policies Scenario from the IEA's World Energy Outlook 2021.

    Methodology

    Data References

Algeria's power sector emissions and carbon intensity

MtCO₂/yr

Unit

1.5°C compatible power sector benchmarks

Carbon intensity, renewable generation share, and fossil fuel generation share from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Algeria

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised power sector by
Carbon intensity of power
gCO₂/kWh
484
177 to 264
-26 to 0
-75 to 0
2040
Relative to reference year in %
-63 to -45%
-105 to -100%
-115 to -100%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Year of phase-out
Share of unabated coal
per cent
0
0 to 0
0 to 0
0 to 0
Share of unabated gas
per cent
99
41 to 74
0 to 4
0 to 0
2040 to 2047
Share of renewable energy
per cent
1
23 to 59
92 to 96
96 to 100
Share of unabated fossil fuel
per cent
99
41 to 74
0 to 4
0 to 0

BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks
All values are rounded

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