What is Algeria's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Current Situation

Emissions profile

Algeria heavily relies on fossil fuels and almost doubled its GHG emissions between 2000 and 2017, reaching around 229.6 MtCO₂e. The energy sector accounts for 84% of Algeria’s total emissions, with 58% of emissions coming from fuel combustion and 26% being fugitive emissions from the fossil fuel industry. Industrial processes, agriculture, and waste were responsible for 6%, 5%, and 5% of total emissions in 2017, respectively.

Algeria's current GHG emissions

MtCO₂e/yr

Energy system

Algeria is a net exporter of energy, mostly fossil gas and crude oil. In 2019, the country exported 58% of the energy it produced.1 Natural gas and crude oil are also the country’s main energy sources, with 98% sourced domestically and around 2% imported. The country’s electricity production relied almost 100% on fossil fuels in 2016, with a tiny fraction generated from hydropower.2
Algeria has enormous renewable energy resources5 and is among the countries with the highest wind energy potential in Africa.3 Renewable energy sources would provide a sustainable alternative to Algeria’s heavy reliance on fossil fuels.4

Targets and commitments

Economy-wide targets

Target type

Baseline scenario target

NDC target

Unconditional NDC Target:

  • 7% below business as usual by 20305
  • 16–39% above 2015 levels by 2030, excluding LULUCF

Conditional NDC Target:

  • 22% below business as usual by 20306
  • 3% below 2015 levels to 25% above 2015 excluding LULUCF

Long-term target

As of January 2023, Algeria does not have net zero target, nor has it submitted a long-term strategy to the UNFCCC.7,8

Sectoral targets

Energy

  • Reducing by 9% the national consumption of energy by 2030 based on BAU.9
  • Reducing the volume of gas flaring to less than 1% by 2030 based on BAU.10

Power

  • 27% of electricity generated from renewable energy sources.11
  • 37% of installed capacities from renewable energy sources.12
  • Installing 22,000 MW of renewable power capacity between 2011 and 2030, including 12,000 MW to meet national demand for electricity and 10,000 MW for export by 2030.13,14,15
  • Generalising high-performance lighting.16

Buildings

  • Implement thermal insulation of buildings between 2021 and 2030.17

Industry

  • Increasing the share of liquefied petroleum and natural gas in the consumption of fuels between 2021 and 2030.18

Waste

  • Energy recovery and recycling of methane from landfill sites and wastewater treatment plants.19

Transport

  • Replacing gasoline and diesel fuels by fuels based on liquefied petroleum gas and natural gas.20
  • “Mainstreaming of the use of clean fuels in individual and collective transport, particularly in large urban cities.”21

LULUCF

  • Afforestation, reforestation, and prevention of forest fires as well as improving means to fight them.22
  • Reforestation of 1,245,000 ha by 2030.23

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