What is United Republic of Tanzania's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Transport

Last update: 1 December 2023

The transport sector is responsible for about 30% of Tanzania’s CO₂ emissions (or around 4% of overall emissions incl. LULUCF).

United Republic of Tanzania's energy mix in the transport sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

1.5°C compatible pathways show an increase in electrification to between 6-21% by 2030, and 25-44% by 2050, from almost 0% in 2019. Tanzania could fully decarbonise the sector between 2047-2050. This would require policies to develop the transport sector around renewable-based electricity, among others.1

Tanzania is set to expand its bus rapid transit (BRT) network, develop non-motorised transport and invest in ‘low emission transport systems’ to lower its emissions.2 Its updated NDC lists transport as a priority sector for mitigation, with measures such as bus rapid transit (BRT) expansion, and establishment of non-motorised transport.3 Tanzania has also embarked on a 2,561km railway project. 1,637km of this is electric, with 300km between Dar and Morogoro already finalised and being operationalised.4

United Republic of Tanzania's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for United Republic of Tanzania

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised transport sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
5
4 to 4
2 to 2
0 to 1
2047 to 2050
Relative to reference year in %
-28 to -14%
-54 to -52%
-99 to -76%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
0
6 to 21
17 to 36
25 to 44
Share of biofuels
per cent
0
2 to 11
4 to 59
9 to 62
Share of hydrogen
per cent
0
1 to 23
34 to 52
54 to 54

All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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