What is Spain's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Transport

Last update: 1 December 2021

Transport emissions were 94 MtCO₂e in 2019, about 48% higher than in 1990. The sector’s carbon intensity has stayed fairly constant, as oil has comprised over 90% of transport’s energy mix since 1990. All subsectors (freight, passenger) follow a similar trend.1

Spain's energy mix in the transport sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Spain’s target to reduce transport emissions to 60 MtCO₂e by 2030 falls short of 1.5°C compatibility, which would see emissions fall to 46-47 MtCO₂e.

All 1.5°C compatible pathways require a decrease in energy consumption by 2030 and emissions to decrease by around 79% below 1990 levels by 2040, with the sector reaching net zero between 2048 and 2053.

As part of its Moves III programme implemented in 2021, the Spanish government is subsidising the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) up to EUR 7,000.2 However, uptake of EVs is still relatively low.3 Spain’s national energy and climate plan (NECP) includes the implementation of low emission zones in all cities with over 50,000 inhabitants starting in 2023, estimating a shift in 35% of all passenger-kilometres to cleaner modes of transport by 2030.

Spain's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Spain

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised transport sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
94
46 to 47
20 to 20
0 to 7
2048 to 2053
Relative to reference year in %
-51 to -50%
-79 to -79%
-100 to -92%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
1
6 to 32
18 to 52
22 to 64
Share of biofuels
per cent
5
13 to 21
18 to 38
20 to 57
Share of hydrogen
per cent
0
3 to 3
13 to 43
33 to 49

All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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