What is Spain's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Industry

1.5°C aligned pathways in Spain would see the industry sector decarbonised between 2041 and 2048, predominantly through increased electrification (36-37% by 2030 and 62-71% by 2050, from 33% in 2019). Pathways less reliant on electrification foresee a greater role in biomass in the energy mix, as well as fossil fuels. The higher electrification scenarios foresee process-related emissions falling to 6-9 MtCO₂e/yr by 2050, from 25 MtCO₂/yr in 2019, whereas the high carbon dioxide removal (CDR) reliance scenario would see negative process-related emissions as early as 2045.

Spain's energy mix in the industry sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector.

As part of its national energy and climate plan (NECP), Spain aims to reduce emissions by 7 MtCO₂e by 2030. It plans to achieve this reduction through fuel switching and enhancements in efficiency measures.

Spain's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

Spain's GHG emissions from industrial processes

MtCO₂e/yr

1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions, shares of electricity, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Spain

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised industry sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
53
15 to 23
6 to 6
1 to 3
2041 to 2048
Relative to reference year in %
-72 to -56%
-89 to -88%
-99 to -94%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
33
36 to 37
49 to 58
62 to 71
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
per cent
41
51 to 51
54 to 85
67 to 96

Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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