What is Serbia's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Buildings

Energy consumption in the buildings sector in Serbia increased by 24% between 1990 and 2019. However, the sector’s emissions grew more modestly in the same period, by 8% to 2.2 MtCO₂e/yr.1 Final energy demand of the sector relies mostly on electricity (43% in 2019), biomass (24% in 2019) and heating networks (13% in 2019).

Serbia's energy mix in the buildings sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Our analysis of 1.5°C compatible pathways show the share of electricity in the building sector’s energy mix rising from 43% in 2019 to between 56–61% in 2030 and 69–80% in 2050.

In April 2021, the Serbian government passed the Law on Energy Efficiency and Rational Use of Energy which established a government agency charged with managing the financing of energy efficiency improvements.2 The law enables subsidising energy efficiency renovations in public buildings, and granting VAT and customs waivers for the purchase and installation of equipment that improve energy efficiency. To help drive further emissions reductions in the buildings sector, the law should be expanded to include residential buildings.

Serbia's buildings sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible buildings sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, heat and hydrogen in the buildings final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Serbia

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised buildings sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
2
1 to 1
0 to 0
0 to 0
2030 to 2032
Relative to reference year in %
-56 to -54%
-88 to -81%
-95 to -91%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
43
56 to 61
66 to 69
69 to 80
Share of heat
per cent
13
15 to 22
17 to 24
22 to 25
Share of hydrogen
per cent
0
1 to 10
9 to 12
13 to 17

All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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