What is Romania's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Transport accounts for 17% of total emissions and is growing faster than any other sector, now 52% above 1990 levels.1 There is currently no emissions reduction target specifically for the transport sector.
Romania's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
-
Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
-
In 2019, the share of electricity in the transport sector’s final energy demand was roughly 1%, meaning that any efforts to decarbonise the sector will involve greatly increasing this share. 1.5°C compatible scenarios show that by 2030 electricity would need to have a 10-29% share in transport sector final energy demand, increasing to 33-72% by 2050.
In scenarios that show a lower penetration of renewables in the transport sector, this is offset by a higher penetration of hydrogen or biofuels. If these options are indeed prioritised, it would require significant scaling up of capacity.
In its NECP, the government states that it will encourage rail transport over road transport. Additionally, it intends to increase the share of renewables in the transport sector to 14.2% by 2030.2 For renewables to penetrate the transport sector, public charging infrastructure will need to be rolled out comprehensively. Romania currently ranks in the bottom five countries in the EU regarding EV charging points per 100 km, reflecting the fact that the government is still some way off achieving its stated targets.3
Romania's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
-
Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
-
1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Romania
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
19
|
3 to
9
|
1 to
4
|
1 to
1
|
2051
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-85 to
-51%
|
-94 to
-80%
|
-96 to
-96%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
1
|
10 to
29
|
22 to
60
|
33 to
72
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
6
|
16 to
22
|
21 to
40
|
16 to
56
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
3 to
9
|
8 to
41
|
20 to
49
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
-
Methodology
Data References
-