What is Morocco's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Transport
Morocco's energy mix in the transport sector
petajoule per year
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the transport sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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With the Government of Morocco estimating a 5% annual growth in fuel consumption for the transport sector, it will result in emissions increasing if still based on fossil fuels.4
To align with 1.5°C compatible pathways, Morocco should reduce the direct annual CO₂ emissions from the transport sector from 19 MtCO₂ in 2019 to between 9-10 MtCO₂ in 2030, and fully decarbonise the sector by 2049-2062. This can be achieved through a rapid electrification, with the share of electricity growing from 1% in 2019, to 5-45% in 2030, and 40-91% by 2050.5
Some scenarios indicate that the share of oil in the transport sector could be reduced to as low as 3% by 2050.
Morocco aims to reduce its transport sector’s emissions by around 5 MtCO₂e by 2030 (relative to BAU levels) through a range of measures outlines in its Third Biennial Update Report.6 These include the expansion of tramways in Rabat and Casablanca; the adoption of Euro 6 emissions standards for new vehicles from January 2024; introduction of a “bonus-malus system” to encourage purchase of low-emission vehicles, and penalisation of the most polluting vehicle models (see the targets section for more information).7 While Morocco has taken some small steps to encourage the uptake of electric vehicles (EVs), including the installation of charging stations on the Tangier-Agadir highway, there are no national targets for the development of electric mobility.8
While the above steps are encouraging, Morocco needs to accelerate and enhance the implementation of such measures to decarbonise the transport sector in a timely fashion. The adoption of electric-powered vehicles and enhanced public transit options are key avenues through which the necessary decarbonisation may be achieved.
Morocco's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the transport sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Morocco
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised transport sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
19
|
9 to
10
|
4 to
7
|
0 to
5
|
2049 to
2062
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-50 to
-48%
|
-81 to
-63%
|
-98 to
-71%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
1
|
5 to
45
|
22 to
79
|
40 to
91
|
|
Share of biofuels
per cent
|
0
|
1 to
3
|
6 to
8
|
13 to
20
|
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
0 to
11
|
3 to
36
|
8 to
47
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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