What is Malaysia's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Industry
Industry accounts for the second largest share of Malaysia’s primary energy demand, at 28% in 2017.1 The share of electricity in the sector’s final energy mix is also steadily increasing since 1990 reaching 50% share in 2019.2 1.5°C compatible pathways show that electricity use in the sector could increase by up to 35% by 2030 and 61-73% by 2050. All scenarios see a rapid decline in direct CO₂ emissions from the industrial sector to 24 MCO₂/yr by 2030 and 4-7 MtCO₂/yr by 2050 from 2019 level of 50 MtCO₂/yr, mostly driven by an increased penetration of renewables in the energy mix and increased energy efficiency.
Malaysia's energy mix in the industry sector
petajoule per year
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the industry sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Primary energy demand in industry is mostly met by fossil fuels (65% in 2020), comprises of natural gas 32% and oil 25%. All analysed scenarios except one, show a peaking of the share of fossil fuels in the energy mix by 2025-30 and a declining trend after that to reach 35-40% share by 2050.
The share of industrial process emissions is 9% of total emissions (excl. LULUCF) in 2019and it has been increasing since 1990.3 1.5°C compatible pathways show a declining trend of process emissions from 33 MtCO₂e/yr down to –2 to 19 MtCO₂e/yr by 2050.
To manage energy efficiency, the government proposed in its 2016 National Energy Efficiency Action Plan energy audits in large and medium sized industries and cogeneration in industries and commercial buildings. The Green Technology Master Plan projects a 50% increase in the number of green manufacturers from the 2015 level with increased adoption of green energy, green product certification and green industrial process.
Malaysia's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the industry sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Malaysia's GHG emissions from industrial processes
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
1.5°C compatible CO₂ emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total CO₂ emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC SR1.5, defined by the 5th and 5th percentiles.
Data References
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1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions, shares of electricity, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Malaysia
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised industry sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
50
|
24 to
24
|
13 to
17
|
4 to
7
|
2048 to
2050
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-52 to
-51%
|
-75 to
-67%
|
-91 to
-86%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
34
|
35 to
35
|
47 to
60
|
61 to
73
|
|
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
per cent
|
34
|
37 to
39
|
47 to
78
|
62 to
91
|
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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