What is France's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Industry

Energy related industrial emissions have fallen by 33% since 1990 to 59 MtCO₂e in 2019.

France's energy mix in the industry sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector.

Electrification, replacing fossil gas with hydrogen when electrification is not possible, and increasing energy efficiency in industrial processes are key to reducing emissions in line with 1.5°C compatible pathways. By 2030, 48–61% of industry energy demand could be met with biomass, electricity and hydrogen. By 2050, their share could increase to 72–85%.

Industrial process emissions have decreased by 40% from 1990 levels to 47 MtCO₂e in 2019. They largely consist of CO₂ and come from the mineral, metal and chemical industries, followed by HFCs from refrigeration.1 Process emissions will need to be more than halved by 2030.

The main measures to reduce emissions in France’s industry sector are capping emissions through the EU emissions trading system, increasing the share of renewable energy-based electrification and supporting technological innovation. The government has set a 41% electrification target for the industry sector by 2030 and 70% by 2050 in its final consumption from 2015 levels. However, France will need to raise its ambition to reach net zero emissions by 2050, particularly to reduce industrial process emissions.2

France's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

France's GHG emissions from industrial processes

MtCO₂e/yr

1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions, shares of electricity, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for France

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised industry sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
59
21 to 23
2 to 11
0 to 7
2036 to 2052
Relative to reference year in %
-64 to -61%
-96 to -81%
-100 to -89%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
36
43 to 44
55 to 62
65 to 66
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
per cent
41
48 to 61
61 to 87
72 to 85

Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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