What is France's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Buildings

Emissions from residential and commercial buildings have declined by 40% since 1990, reaching 62 MtCO₂ in 2019. The emissions decline is a result of electrification which increased from 30% in 1990 to 47% in 2019. Additionally, the share of fossil fuels in the building sector decreased over the same period by 8%.

France's energy mix in the buildings sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

France’s long-term strategy, the Stratégie Nationale Bas-Carbone (SNBC), includes a target of reducing the building sector’s GHG emissions (with more than 80% CO₂ emissions) by 49% by 2030 compared to 2015 and reaching a full decarbonisation by 2050. Under 1.5°C emission pathways, the sector should reduce its direct CO₂ emissions by at least 58% by 2030 below 2015 levels, and be fully decarbonised between 2035 and 2044. To reach this goal, France will need to continue increasing the share of electricity to 65% in 2030, from 43% in 2019.

The government’s planned measures for the sector mainly provide financial support to increase energy efficiency of existing buildings, promote a low carbon construction sector and update standards and labelling for new buildings. France has also introduced a ban on the use of fuel oil for new heating systems from 2022. However, the government will need to strengthen its policies and measures to reach the necessary renovation rates to be in line with its 2030 target, let alone 1.5°C compatible pathways.1

France's buildings sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible buildings sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, heat and hydrogen in the buildings final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for France

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised buildings sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
62
27 to 28
5 to 10
1 to 3
2035 to 2044
Relative to reference year in %
-56 to -55%
-93 to -84%
-98 to -96%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
43
65 to 65
77 to 79
83 to 89
Share of heat
per cent
4
3 to 4
5 to 6
6 to 8
Share of hydrogen
per cent
0
0 to 5
0 to 21
0 to 20

All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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