What is Czech Republic's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Buildings

Aside from a sudden drop in the early 1990s, emissions from the buildings sector have continued to steadily decrease, with emissions in 2019 56% lower than 1990 levels.1 1.5°C pathways require a drop both in emissions and emissions intensity, with direct CO₂ emissions needing to fall by 12-38% below 2019 levels by 2030.

Czech Republic's energy mix in the buildings sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Electricity’s share of final energy in the buildings sector should increase from 27% in 2019 to 40-48% by 2030 and rise to 61-69% by 2050. Depending on which pathway is followed, the sector could decarbonise as early as 2038, or as late as 2050.

Czechia’s decarbonisation goals require a phasing out of gas and coal boilers, with heating being switched to low-emission sources such as heat pumps. This needs to be combined with improved energy efficiency through retrofitting poorly insulated buildings.2 Residential buildings account for 77% of emissions in the buildings sector, and the Czech government has set a target of renovating 1.4% of residential buildings annually (an annual target of 1.4% has also been applied to non-residential buildings).3

Czech Republic's buildings sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible buildings sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, heat and hydrogen in the buildings final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Czech Republic

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised buildings sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
10
6 to 9
2 to 5
2 to 2
2038 to 2050
Relative to reference year in %
-38 to -12%
-76 to -51%
-85 to -85%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
27
40 to 48
51 to 56
61 to 69
Share of heat
per cent
15
17 to 20
23 to 23
26 to 31
Share of hydrogen
per cent
0
1 to 10
8 to 14
16 to 17

All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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