What is South Korea's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Buildings
Final energy use in South Korea’s commercial and residential building sectors account for around 15% of the country’s primary energy supply and have done so for the past decade. While energy consumption from buildings has grown, it has done so at a slower pace than in other sectors (i.e., industry and transport). Between 2010 and 2019, the total final energy consumption increased by 15% while that for buildings did so by 6%.1 This reflects the fact that emissions intensity of energy demand from buildings has decreased significantly over the last three decades (61% reduction between 1990-2019). This is a result of electricity having increasingly replaced direct fossil fuel combustion for meeting buildings’ energy demand.2
South Korea's energy mix in the buildings sector
petajoule per year
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the buildings sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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The 1.5°C compatible scenarios generally show a rapid decline in the share of fossil fuels meeting buildings’ energy demand, and a corresponding decline in direct CO₂ emissions, the latter reaching an emissions levels in 2050 less than half that in 2019.3 The scenarios show coal, which accounted for less than 2% of the sector’s energy demand in 2019, phased out by 2030. The role of natural gas, which met 32% of the demand in 2019, varies. While the use of this fossil fuel generally declines, it does so at a slower pace in scenarios which assume a high level of energy efficiency or uptake of carbon dioxide removal approaches.
The overall message from these scenarios is that South Korea will need to improve energy efficiency of buildings and focus on space heating, and cooling as the main drivers of emissions in the sector. In terms of energy intensity, the 3rd Energy Master Plan does set a target for a 38% reduction from 2017 levels by 2040.4 In line with achieving this reduction, the government has set targets for “green remodelling” of public rental homes, public buildings, and schools.5–6 This includes the zero energy buildings project which seeks to have buildings with maximum insulation performance and energy generated through solar power and geothermal heat. However recent analysis has shown that current policy incentivises the construction of new buildings over renovating existing buildings to improve energy efficiency.7
South Korea's buildings sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the buildings sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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1.5°C compatible buildings sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, heat and hydrogen in the buildings final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for South Korea
Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised buildings sector by
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
48
|
24 to
42
|
4 to
41
|
1 to
19
|
2036 to
2056
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-50 to
-11%
|
-91 to
-14%
|
-98 to
-61%
|
Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
48
|
55 to
65
|
63 to
68
|
69 to
73
|
Share of heat
per cent
|
6
|
7 to
10
|
11 to
24
|
13 to
35
|
Share of hydrogen
per cent
|
0
|
0 to
4
|
0 to
4
|
0 to
7
|
All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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