What is Cameroon's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Transport

After the residential and commercial sector, transport is the second largest contributing sector to the overall energy consumption in Cameroon (14% of total final consumption in 2019).1 One analysed scenario see a steady reduction in direct CO₂ emissions until 2030 mostly driven by introduction of biofuels while another scenario sees emissions increasing until 2030 after which they peak and start declining through strong increase in the share of biofuels and electricity. Some scenarios show a high increase in the use of hydrogen which is however unlikely to be the most cost effective technology in the region. Across analysed scenarios the electricity share in the transport sector grows from 0% in 2019 to between 5 to 21% by 2030 and 33 to 43% by 2050 and biofuels see a penetration in the transport energy mix from 0% in 2019 to 2-11% by 2030 and 10-62% by 2050. Electricity and hydrogen would help decarbonise the transport sector only if they were produced from renewable energy sources. Biofuel would need to be produced in a sustainable way that does not contribute to deforestation which is a concern for Cameroon.

Cameroon's energy mix in the transport sector

petajoule per year

Scaling

Cameroon faces a lack of transport capacity due to a lack of infrastructure. The National Development Strategy 2020-2030 (SND30) outlines the priorities of paving roads, expanding the railway network, and the construction of deeper and upgraded ports. To ensure the decarbonisation of the transport sector, this expansion of transport infrastructure should also consider and integrate low-carbon modes of transport such as the development of urban mass transport services.

Cameroon's transport sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).

1.5°C compatible transport sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions and shares of electricity, biofuels and hydrogen in the transport final energy demand from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Cameroon

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised transport sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
3
2 to 2
1 to 1
0 to 1
2047 to 2050
Relative to reference year in %
-45 to -34%
-61 to -60%
-100 to -81%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
per cent
0
5 to 21
17 to 36
33 to 43
Share of biofuels
per cent
0
2 to 11
4 to 59
10 to 62
Share of hydrogen
per cent
0
1 to 12
34 to 34
42 to 55

All values are rounded. Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.

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