In 2019, the energy sector is responsible for 78% of Singapore’s emissions , mostly from electricity (35%) and energy consumed by the industry sector (27%). Singapore does not produce oil or gas, but it serves as a major oil refining and petrochemical hub.5 Singapore’s CO₂ emissions are highly concentrated on Jurong island which serves as home to some of the biggest refineries and represents ~60% of the country’s emissions.6,7
Transport contributes 13% of total emissions, mainly from Singapore’s road vehicle fleet of diesel and petrol vehicles that contribute 95% of transport emissions.8
Industrial processes emissions account for 22% of total emissions. Within this, the electronic industry is responsible for over 70% of industrial process emissions.8 Products used as substitutes for ozone depleting substances account for 17%, mainly related to emissions from the use of hydrofluorocarbons in solvent application.8
Waste emissions represent only 1% of Singapore’s total emissions. This is because Singapore’s waste is incinerated in its waste-to-energy plants to reduce waste volumes and to create energy, and these emissions are included in the energy sector.8 Only the ash from these plants and non-incinerable waste is placed in landfill and therefore landfill emissions account for just a small share of emissions.
Agriculture emissions are negligible, as Singapore a city-state relies on imports for its food.8
11 Duarte, C., Raftery, P. & Schiavon, S. Development of Whole-Building Energy Models for Detailed Energy Insights of a Large Office Building with Green Certification Rating in Singapore. Energy Technol. 6, 84–93 (2018).
15 Vidinopoulos, A., Whale, J. & Fuentes Hutfilter, U. Assessing the technical potential of ASEAN countries to achieve 100% renewable energy supply. Sustain. Energy Technol. Assessments 42, 100878 (2020).
21 Data excludes Land use, Land use change and forestry (LULUCF) emissions. However, Singapore’s LULUCF emissions account for very little (e.g. 0.1 MtCO₂e/yr in 2014).
22 32 MtCO₂e calculated in AR4 values by the Climate Action Tracker. Source cites 33 MtCO₂e/yr in AR5GWP values.
23 While global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC Special Report 1.5°C provide useful guidance for an upper-limit of emissions trajectories for developed countries, they underestimate the feasible space for such countries to reach net zero earlier. The current generation of models tend to depend strongly on land-use sinks outside of currently developed countries and include fossil fuel use well beyond the time at which these could be phased out, compared to what is understood from bottom-up approaches. The scientific teams which provide these global pathways constantly improve the technologies represented in their models – and novel CDR technologies are now being included in new studies focused on deep mitigation scenarios meeting the Paris Agreement. A wide assessment database of these new scenarios is not yet available; thus, we rely on available scenarios which focus particularly on BECCS as a net-negative emission technology. Accordingly, we do not yet consider land-sector emissions (LULUCF) and other CDR approaches which developed countries will need to implement in order to counterbalance their remaining emissions and reach net zero GHG are not considered here due to data availability.
Singaporeʼs current GHG emissions
MtCO₂e/yr
Displayed values
By sector
Power
Industry (energy use)
Transport
Fugitive emissions
Buildings
Other
Industry (processes)
Waste
Agriculture
LULUCF
By gas
CO₂
Other
N₂O
CH₄
096%0
Sectors by gas
Energy
099%0
Agriculture
089%0
Industry (processes)
084%0
Energy system
Power, industry and transport account for the bulk of Singapore’s emissions.8 Industry and transport have been electrified to some extent, and the possible scaling up of these sectors could significantly reduce emissions if natural gas is replaced with renewable electricity generation.8
Singapore’s electricity mix is 96% natural gas. Renewable energy accounts for just 2% of the power mix, which is mainly biomass. Coal currently represents 1% of the power mix and could be phased out without delay. Gas also dominates the total primary energy supply with 96% of the mix. The remainder is oil.
Singapore’s Low Emissions Development Strategy highlights energy efficiency and conservation as a key area to transform industry and the economy.8 In terms of power, Singapore’s strategy focuses on a “switch” to natural gas, which will continue to dominate the power mix in the near term, with plans for solar to drive a third “switch”, focusing on regional power grids for energy options, and a fourth “switch” to “low carbon alternatives” including carbon capture and storage and possibly hydrogen.6,8
Singapore’s focus on natural gas as a ‘bridge’ to a low carbon future risks the creation of stranded assets (such as its LNG terminal) and is likely to result in job losses and economic disruption. Singapore’s gas supply is highly dependent on international markets, creating energy and economic insecurity.
Targets and commitments
Economy-wide targets
Target type
Fixed level target
NDC target
Peak emissions at 65 MtCO₂e around 2030 (including LULUCF, however LULUCF emissions are negligible).
24% above 2015 levels by 2030 (excluding LULUCF).
Market mechanism
Economy wide carbon tax.
Long-term target
Aims to achieve net zero emissions as soon as viable in the second half of the century.8
Halve emissions from its peak to 32 MtCO₂e/yr by 2050.22
Sector coverage
EnergyIndustryWasteAgricultureLULUCF
Greenhouse gas coverage
CO₂CH₄NF₃HFCsN₂OSF₆
Sectoral targets
Power
Solar: 350 MW by 2020; and 2 GW by 2030 (including 540 MW of solar on public housing by 2030).8