Poland’s contribution to meeting EU’s new emissions reduction goal for 2030 is inadequate. Its emissions reductions target of 29% (excl. LULUCF) from 1990 levels is far from the 55-66% (excl. LULUCF) range that is compatible with the Paris Agreement.,
To be consistent with the 1.5°C temperature limit, Poland’s emissions would have to decrease from 391 MtCO₂e/yr in 2019 to between 161-214 MtCO₂e/yr by 2030.
Poland is currently not on track to meet its current emissions reduction goal: adopted policies would result in emissions decreasing to 405 MtCO₂e/yr by 2030, just 15% from 1990 levels, equivalent to an increase by 13 MtCO₂ in comparison to emissions levels in 2019.
Poland is the only EU member state that has not committed to the EU’s goal of net zero GHG emissions by 2050.
To be 1.5°C compatible, Poland should reach emissions reductions of 89% by 2040 below 1990 levels and its CO₂ emissions should reach zero already in the 2040s, when considering LULUCF sinks at their current levels.,
Current policies would see Poland reduce GHGs emissions by around 43% by 2040, instead of the 83% below 1990 levels required to be 1.5°C compatible, with no emissions reduction plans for beyond 2040.