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Mexico Sectors

What is Mexicoʼs pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Industrial energy consumption accounted for 11% of Mexico’s total energy sector emissions in 2019.23 The trend in recent years shows a decrease in emissions, with 2019 emissions similar to 1990 values. This is mainly due to the closure of some chemical industries such as fertiliser, and the decline of iron, and steel production. Regarding fuel consumption, coal represented a 13% share and petroleum coke a 12% share in 2019.26

According to the pathways analysed here, the industry sector could be fully decarbonised by around 2040. The share of electricity in the sector’s final energy demand in 2019 was 39%. The share of electricity would need to increase to around 49% by 2030 to be aligned with a 1.5°C compatible trajectory.

Industrial process emissions come mainly from cement, lime production, glass and iron and steel production and represent 10% of total national GHG emissions.23

Mexicoʼs energy mix in the industry sector

petajoule per year

Scaling
SSP1 Low CDR reliance
20192030204020502 0003 000
SSP1 High CDR reliance
20192030204020502 0003 000
Low energy demand
20192030204020502 0003 000
High energy demand - Low CDR reliance
20192030204020502 0003 000
  • Natural gas
  • Coal
  • Oil and e-fuels
  • Biofuel
  • Biogas
  • Biomass
  • Hydrogen
  • Electricity
  • Heat

Mexicoʼs industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Unit
02040608010012019902010203020502070
  • Historical emissions
  • SSP1 High CDR reliance
  • SSP1 Low CDR reliance
  • High energy demand - Low CDR reliance
  • Low energy demand

Mexicoʼs GHG emissions from industrial processes

MtCO₂e/yr

010203040506019902010203020502070
  • SSP1 Low CDR reliance
  • SSP1 High CDR reliance
  • Low energy demand
  • High energy demand - Low CDR reliance
  • Historical emissions

1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions, direct electrification rates, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Mexico

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised industry sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
106
27 to 30
4
0 to 2
2038 to 2039
Relative to reference year in %
−75 to −72%
−96%
−100 to −98%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
Percent
39
49
68
74 to 81
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
Percent
43
52 to 63
72 to 98
89 to 99

Footnotes