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France Sectors

What is Franceʼs pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?

Energy related industrial emissions have fallen by 33% since 1990 to 59 MtCO₂e in 2019.

Electrification, replacing fossil gas with hydrogen when electrification is not possible, and increasing energy efficiency in industrial processes are key to reducing emissions in line with 1.5°C compatible pathways. By 2030, 48–61% of industry energy demand could be met with biomass, electricity and hydrogen. By 2050, their share could increase to 72–85%.

Industrial process emissions have decreased by 40% from 1990 levels to 47 MtCO₂e in 2019. They largely consist of CO₂ and come from the mineral, metal and chemical industries, followed by HFCs from refrigeration.1 Process emissions will need to be more than halved by 2030.

The main measures to reduce emissions in France’s industry sector are capping emissions through the EU emissions trading system, increasing the share of renewable energy-based electrification and supporting technological innovation. The government has set a 41% electrification target for the industry sector by 2030 and 70% by 2050 in its final consumption from 2015 levels. However, France will need to raise its ambition to reach net zero emissions by 2050, particularly to reduce industrial process emissions.1

1 Ministère de la Transition écologique et solidaire. La transition écologique et solidaire vers la neutralité carbone. (2020).

2 Conseil d’Etat. Émissions de gaz à effet de serre : le Conseil d’État enjoint au Gouvernement de prendre des mesures supplémentaires avant le 31 mars 2022. (2021).

3 Dugast, C. & Joly, A. Depuis sa condamnation, l’État français s’est-il donné les moyens de son ambition climat ? (2022).

4 IEA. Global EV Data Explorer – Data Tools – IEA. (2022).

5 Haut Conseil pour le Climat. Agir en cohérence avec les ambitions. Rapport annuel Neutralité Carbone (2019).

6 Government of France. National Climate and Energy Plan. (2020).

7 Ministère de l’Écologie. The Ecological and Inclusive Transition Towards Carbon Neutrality. 1–29 (2018).

8 Haut Conseil pour le Climat. Renforcer L’Attenuation , Engager L’Adaptation. Rapport Annuel 2021. (2021).

9 International Energy Agency database. Energy Data and Statistics. (2021). supply&indicator=TPESbySource

10 Ministère de la Transition Ecologique. Les énergies renouvelables en France en 2020 – Suivi de la directive 2009/28/CE relative à la promotion de l’utilisation des énergies renouvelables | Données et études statistiques. (2021).

11 Kinley, R. It’s time for Macron to revive French leadership on EU climate goals. Energy Monitor (2022).

12 Legifrance. LOI n° 2015-992 du 17 août 2015 relative à la transition énergétique pour la croissance verte (1) – Légifrance. (2015).

13 Ministère de la Transition écologique. Loi de transition énergétique pour la croissance verte | Ministère de la Transition écologique. (2015).

14 La Tribune. La France ne sortira finalement pas du charbon en 2022 : la reconversion de la centrale EDF de Cordemais est abandonnée. https://www.latribune.fr/entreprises-finance/industrie/energie-environnement/la-france-ne-sortira-finalement-pas-du-charbon-en-2022-888636.html (2021).

15 Haut Conseil pour le Climat. Rapport annuel 2021. (2021).

16 Ministère de la Transition écologique. Plan de rénovation énergétique des bâtiments | Ministère de la Transition écologique. (2021).

17 Euractiv. EU nations approve end to combustion engine sales by 2035 – EURACTIV.com. (2022).

18 ACEA. Electric vehicles: Tax benefits and purchase incentives in the 27 member states of the European Union. (2022).

Franceʼs energy mix in the industry sector

petajoule per year

Scaling
SSP1 Low CDR reliance
20192030204020501 0001 5002 000
SSP1 High CDR reliance
20192030204020501 0001 5002 000
Low energy demand
20192030204020501 0001 5002 000
High energy demand - Low CDR reliance
20192030204020501 0001 5002 000
  • Natural gas
  • Coal
  • Oil and e-fuels
  • Biofuel
  • Biogas
  • Biomass
  • Hydrogen
  • Electricity
  • Heat

Franceʼs industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)

MtCO₂/yr

Unit
02040608010019902010203020502070
  • Historical emissions
  • SSP1 High CDR reliance
  • SSP1 Low CDR reliance
  • High energy demand - Low CDR reliance
  • Low energy demand

Franceʼs GHG emissions from industrial processes

MtCO₂e/yr

02040608019902010203020502070
  • SSP1 Low CDR reliance
  • SSP1 High CDR reliance
  • Low energy demand
  • High energy demand - Low CDR reliance
  • Historical emissions

1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks

Direct CO₂ emissions, direct electrification rates, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for France

Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Decarbonised industry sector by
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
59
21 to 23
2 to 11
0 to 7
2036 to 2052
Relative to reference year in %
−64 to −61%
−96 to −81%
−100 to −89%
Indicator
2019
2030
2040
2050
Share of electricity
Percent
36
43 to 44
55 to 62
65 to 66
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
Percent
41
48 to 61
61 to 87
72 to 85

Footnotes